Quarterly Outlook - December 2019
23 January 2020
Gain expert insights into future economic and financial market developments with the December 2019 Quarterly Outlook of Ortec Finance. Get the latest news and an in-depth analysis of the key drivers of risk and return. The Quarterly Outlook is based on the Ortec Finance Economic Scenario Generator (ESG) and offers our perspective on recent developments in capital markets and what these mean for the future.
The December 2019 Quarterly Outlook highlights include:
- Strong equity returns and higher interest rates in the fourth quarter of 2019 detract from our momentum outlook, which remains mildly positive.
- The global business cycle improves and is now back around trend, fueled by improved financial market optimism following eased trade and Brexit uncertainty.
- The global economic outlook remains fragile and we expect the business cycle to mildly decline, but stay close to trend for the coming years.
- There is limited room for further support from monetary policy, unemployment is already very low and significant fiscal stimulus seems unlikely. Business cycle risks remain strongly tilted to the downside.
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Previous Quarterly Outlook
Interested in our previous quarterly outlook? Download the September Quarterly Outlook here.